PropCalcRental vs S&P 500🇵🇹 🇪🇸 🇩🇪 🇫🇷 🇬🇧 🇺🇸
Live Market Rates
Euribor 3M:|Euribor 6M:|Euribor 12M:|ECB Rate:|BOE Rate:|Fed Rate:|10Y UST:
S&P 500:|NASDAQ:|FTSE 100:|DAX:|IBEX 35:|CAC 40:

Buy-to-Let vs S&P 500

Buy-to-Let vs S&P 500

Compare rental property returns against stock market investment over time.

Rental income taxed as ordinary income. Depreciation deduction over 27.5 years. 1031 exchange allows tax-deferred reinvestment. Average cap rate: 4–8%.

Purchase

5%100%
1%15%
-2%10%

Interest

0%10%

S&P 500

Historical avg: ~10%/yr nominal (1957–2024)

1yr40yr

Comparing same capital: $60,000 (down payment $50,000 + acquisition costs $10,000) invested in both scenarios over 20 years.

S&P 500 wins by $138,971

20 years

Buy-to-Let

Total return (after tax)

$153,132

Annualised6.5%/yr
Final property value$451,528
Total rental income$321,739
Net cash flow$-104,905
Capital gains tax-$40,306
Rental income tax22% rental income tax

S&P 500

Total return (after tax)

$292,102

Annualised9.3%/yr
Final gross value$403,650
Final net value$352,102
Capital gain$343,650
Tax on gain-$51,547
Tax rateLong-term capital gains 0–20% depending on income. Most middle-income taxpayers: 15%.

Equity / Portfolio Value Over Time

Y3
Y6
Y9
Y12
Y15
Y18
Property equity
S&P 500 (gross)

Annual Property Costs (United States)

Property tax (IMI/IBI/Grundsteuer…)1.10% of property value/yr
Maintenance & repairs1.0% of property value/yr
Insurance0.5% of property value/yr
Acquisition costs (taxes + notary)4% of purchase price
Rental income tax22% rental income tax
Capital gains tax (property)20.0%
Capital gains tax (stocks)Long-term capital gains 0–20% depending on income. Most middle-income taxpayers: 15%.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does the S&P 500 often beat property in this calculator?

The S&P 500 has delivered ~10%/yr nominal since 1957 with zero management effort, no vacancy, no maintenance, and lower transaction costs. Property benefits from leverage (mortgage) and tangible asset ownership, but acquisition costs (5–10%), ongoing expenses, and taxes erode returns significantly. The result depends heavily on local rental yields, appreciation, and your mortgage rate.

Does this account for leverage?

Yes. The property scenario uses your down payment + acquisition costs as the invested capital, with a mortgage covering the rest. The S&P 500 scenario invests the same initial capital without leverage. This is the most realistic comparison for a buy-to-let investor.

What is not included in this model?

The model does not include: rental income reinvestment (dividends reinvested in S&P 500 are included via compound growth), property management fees (~8–12% of rent), major renovation costs, or the psychological value of owning a tangible asset. It also assumes a single property purchase with no refinancing.

Is the S&P 500 return realistic?

The 10%/yr nominal return is the historical average since 1957. After inflation (~3%/yr), the real return is ~7%/yr. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You can adjust the return rate in the calculator to test different scenarios.

Data updated on 25 May 2026

About This Calculator

This calculator helps property owners decide whether to retain their investment property for rental income or sell it and invest the proceeds in the stock market. It's crucial for real estate investors facing portfolio optimization decisions, allowing them to quantify the financial implications of each path. By comparing potential returns, cash flow, and tax implications, users can make an informed choice aligned with their long-term financial goals.

How It Works

1

Step 1: Input Property Details

Enter the current market value of your property, its outstanding mortgage balance, and any selling costs (e.g., real estate agent fees, capital gains tax). These figures establish the net proceeds available for investment, which is a critical baseline for comparison.

2

Step 2: Estimate Rental Income & Expenses

Provide your expected monthly rental income, along with recurring property expenses such as property taxes, insurance, maintenance, and potential vacancy rates. This step helps project the net operating income (NOI) and cash flow generated by keeping the property as a rental.

3

Step 3: Project Investment Returns

Specify your expected annual return from stock market investments and the time horizon for your analysis. This input is vital for modeling the growth of your net proceeds if you were to sell the property and invest, allowing for a direct comparison with rental income.

4

Step 4: Consider Tax Implications

Account for any specific tax benefits or liabilities associated with rental income (e.g., depreciation, mortgage interest deductions) versus capital gains taxes on stock market investments. Understanding the after-tax returns provides a more accurate financial picture for both scenarios.

5

Step 5: Analyze and Compare Outcomes

Review the projected net cash flow from renting, the estimated growth of stock market investments, and the overall wealth accumulation for both options over your chosen time horizon. This final step provides a clear financial comparison to guide your decision.

Worked Example — Austin, Texas, United States

In Austin, Texas, United States, compare the same own capital against a $360,000 property and $270,000 financing at 6.4%.

  • Use the same time horizon and own-capital amount in every alternative.
  • Enter current local financing, operating-cost and return assumptions.
  • Compare risk, liquidity and after-tax consequences as well as the headline result.

The comparison is locally framed but remains sensitive to the assumptions you choose.

Frequently Asked Questions